UFC Vegas 41 predictions: ‘Costa vs Vettori’ early ‘Prelims’ undercard preview
After a failed title bid against division monarch Israel Adesanya, middleweight powerhouses Paulo Costa and Marvin Vettori look to reestablish their bona fides at the expense of each other this Saturday (October 23, 2021). UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada will also host an intriguing lightweight clash between Ricky Glenn and Grant Dawson, as well as the return of Jessica-Rose Clark alongside Joselyne Edwards.
UFC Vegas 41 was watching eight “Prelims” undercard bouts as recently as last week; however, some late notification hiccups have narrowed them down to six as of this writing. Let’s take a look at the first half …
155 pounds: Worthy khama vs. Jai herbert
Khama Worthy (16-8) was appropriately explosive in his first two UFC appearances, surprising Devonte Smith with a bonus-winning knockout and beating Luis Peña 10 months later. Recent efforts weren’t as successful, and “The Deathstar” enters the cage this Saturday after two knockout losses in a combined 2:19.
He is two inches shorter than Herbert and has three inches of reach.
Jai Herbert (10-3) entered his UFC 2020 debut with a six-game winning streak hot on his heels and the Cage Warriors lightweight title around his waist, only to suffer a knockout loss on his return to Francisco. Trinaldo in “Fight Island”. He didn’t find much better luck against Renato Moicano, who used his strong ground game to touch Herbert late in the second.
“The Black Country Banger” has knocked out eight professional foes and subdued another.
I think the correct phrase here is “don’t blink.” While the universe delights in turning guaranteed fights into bizarre battles (as we saw in Thiago Santos’ main event against Johnny Walker the other week), it’s hard to imagine this fight lasting very long.
And that’s not good news for Worthy.
The man is a much better fighter than I often give him credit for, but he is still by far the glassier and less polished of these two guns. In fact, Herbert has a distinct advantage in the general art of kickboxing, especially since this time around he won’t have to worry about stopping takedowns. Herbert could still collide head-on with something nasty like he did against Trinaldo, sure, but he’s more likely to catch Worthy and knock him down in the opening minutes.
Prediction: Herbert by knockout in the first round
125 pounds: Jeff Molina vs. Daniel Lacerda
Jeff Molina (9-2) extended his winning streak to seven with a decision over Jacob Silva in the “Contender Series,” winning a contract despite the lack of an ending. This set up a UFC debut in April 2021 against Aoriqileng, which Molina won by “Fight of the Night” decision after three extremely brutal rounds.
“El Jefe” has scored five appearances and two knockouts as a professional.
Daniel Lacerda (11-1) “Miojo” got off to an undefeated professional start (7-0) before a shoulder injury prematurely ended a Shooto Brasil gold bid. Since then, he has won three games in a row, including a first-round TKO over Rodrigo Sarafian in July 2021.
All of his victories have come within range, six of them by submission.
Impressive as it is on film, Lacerda still has a lot to prove at 25 years old. He never made it past the second round, has a somewhat dubious fight, and has yet to graduate past the mid-level opposition. I still have it winning this one, though I admit it’s just as instinctive a choice as anything else. He appears to have much more stopping power on his feet than Molina, whose heavy movement style leaves him vulnerable to Lacerda’s power kicks. Molina also struggled with takedown defense in the past, giving Lacerda a chance to apply his powerful submissions and further configure his kickboxing.
All of this is moot if Lacerda only has five minutes of gas, of course, but sometimes I like to be optimistic. In short, Molina catches a cold sometime in the first.
Prediction: Lacerda by TKO in the first round
115 pounds: Livinha Souza vs. Randa Markos
Livinha Souza (14-3), who once held the strawweight title from Invicta FC, started her UFC career strong by selecting Alex Chambers and beating the hulking Sarah Frota soon after. “The Brazilian Gangsta” is 1-2 since then, most recently suffering their first stoppage loss to Amanda Lemos.
His 10 pro finals are split 8-2 between submissions and knockouts.
Randa Markos (10-11-1), one of the most prominent of The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 20, spent her first five years in the Octagon without winning or losing two fights in a row. The pattern was finally broken in 2020, and he is now in the midst of a four-game losing streak.
He is an inch shorter than Souza at 5’4 ”, although he will have a slight reach advantage.
An interesting clash here between the underperforming Souza and the previously surpassed Markos. The former’s lack of size and his uncanny reluctance to use his strong takedown game have resulted in tough losses and painfully narrow wins, while Markos can no longer keep up with the contenders and prospects that UFC bosses insist on leaving. sideways.
I have Souza here, although he excels at getting rid of fights. Markos’ takedown defense has repeatedly failed him in recent efforts, and Souza has a top-notch game to say the least. As long as Souza remembers that he is a judo black belt and doesn’t insist on exchanging hands, he has the skills to make a decision or snatch a submission. In the end, expect her to uselessly swap anyway, but still pull off enough takedowns to get the victory.
Prediction: Souza by split decision
Three more bouts of the UFC Vegas 41 “Prelims” undercard remain to be anticipated and predicted, including a standout matchup between two promising middleweight forts. Tomorrow at the same time, Maniacs.
Remember it MMAmania.com will offer round-by-round, blow-by-blow LIVE coverage of the entire UFC Vegas 41 fight card on the right here, starting with the ESPN + “Preliminary” matches, which are scheduled to start at 1pm ET, then the remaining balance on the main card at ESPN + at 4 p.m. ET.
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